11 Picks for NFL Week 3, Jags at Colts
Published Friday, September 19, 2008 at 12:00:00 PM
For every week of this NFL season, myself and a strange smattering of 10 other sources will be predicting the winner of the most (or one of the most) anticipated game of the week.
Last week, we picked Patriots at Jets, and only five of the sources got it right.
This week, we're picking the game between two preseason AFC contenders, both of whom have to be looking at this as a must-win: The Jacksonville Jaguars at the Indianapolis Colts.
The line is Indianapolis -5.5, but we're just picking the game straight up.
This list was published on Friday, September 19, 2008 at 12:00:00 PM under the category NFL Picks.
It currently has View Comments.
Published Friday, September 19, 2008 at 12:00:00 PM
For every week of this NFL season, myself and a strange smattering of 10 other sources will be predicting the winner of the most (or one of the most) anticipated game of the week.
Last week, we picked Patriots at Jets, and only five of the sources got it right.
This week, we're picking the game between two preseason AFC contenders, both of whom have to be looking at this as a must-win: The Jacksonville Jaguars at the Indianapolis Colts.
The line is Indianapolis -5.5, but we're just picking the game straight up.
Accuscore. (1-1 on the season) Accuscore REALLY likes the Colts this week, with its computer simulations having them on top damn near seven out of every 10 times.
Better than a two-thirds advantage for the Colts, according to the computer.- Former NFL star Eric Allen. (2-0) Former NFL player-turned-ESPN analyst Eric Allen is picking the Colts. He's not elaborating on why, he's just picking them.
- Random number generator. (1-1) I use Random.org's coin flipper. Heads home team, tails away team. It came out heads, so the random number generator is picking the Colts.
- Homeless guy outside my office. (2-0) He was very chatty today, and, ultimately, I think he wants the Colts. He also wants me to have a "blessed weekend," which I find sweet.
Battle of the mascots. (1-1) This would be a pretty good fight: An angry, untamed jaguar just going at it with a big, bold horse. Ultimately, though, I think the horse's kicks and hooves are no match for the jaguar's teeth and claws. So the Jaguars win the battle of the mascots.
Battle of the mascots.
(Of course, if I interpret a Colt to be a gun, this ends differently. Or if I interpret a Jaguar to be a car. Or Colt to be a 40-ounce bottle of malt liquor. Or Jaguar to be a video game console created by Atari in the '90s. I could go on. Trust me.)- Adam, the late '80s fan. (1-1) I was unable to track down Adam by the deadline. But I assume he'd pick Jim Harbaugh and the Colts, seeing as, back when he was a fan, Jacksonville didn't even exist.
- Fatter offensive line. (1-1) For this week, it's not even close. The Colts have two sub-300-pounders on their line, lowlighted by RG Daniel Federkeil, who isn't just a meager 290 pounds... he's from Canada. Meanwhile, the Jags have a ridiculously beefy line, with all five guys coming in over 300 pounds. The Colts line weighs a total of 1,511 pounds... the Jags line weighs a total of 1,603. The pick is the Jaguars.
A model who may or may not know football. (2-0) Karmen gave me her pick early this week: "I'm going to pick the Jaguars. This time, I have no reasoning."
Karmen, our model/expert.
I would gently mock that, but she's been perfect so far on the season and I've incorrectly picked both games, so I clearly have NO room to talk.- Just picking the home team. (0-2) Home teams aren't doing so well here. Let's see if the Colts can help out.
- "Sports Illustrated" legend Peter King. (2-0) King is undefeated so far. This week, he sees the Jaguars squeezing out a close win, 20-19. His reasoning: "All that's at stake here is Jacksonville's season."
- My pick. (0-2) I don't have faith in the Jaguars like most people... nor do I have faith in the Colts. But the Colts have won big games before, more big games than Jacksonville, so my pick is the Colts.
This list was published on Friday, September 19, 2008 at 12:00:00 PM under the category NFL Picks.
It currently has View Comments.
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It's all written by Sam Greenspan, a Midwest-born, classically-trained journalist who now tries to make a dollar out of 15 cents in Los Angeles. (It's hard to be legit and still pay the rent.)
Read more about 11 Points and Sam here.
For information about reprinting 11 Points content, or for quotes/interviews for your newspaper, magazine, website, TV program, or radio show, contact Sam via e-mail at