11 Picks for NFL Week 2, Patriots at Jets
Published Friday, September 12, 2008 at 02:00:00 PM
For those just joining us here, each week of the NFL season, I'm picking the game of the week, and then having 11 very different sources weigh in on who they think is going to win.
So last week, the majority of my "experts" picked the Cowboys over the Browns, and they were correct. I picked the Browns, and I was incorrect.
This week, the game we're all going to be picking is the very intriguing New England Patriots at New York Jets. Tom Brady's out for the year and it's Matt Cassel's first start ever. Lining up against Brett Favre, making his eight billionth career start.
The line is Jets -1.5, although we're all just going to pick the game straight up.
This list was published on Friday, September 12, 2008 at 02:00:00 PM under the category NFL Picks.
It currently has View Comments.
Published Friday, September 12, 2008 at 02:00:00 PM
For those just joining us here, each week of the NFL season, I'm picking the game of the week, and then having 11 very different sources weigh in on who they think is going to win.
So last week, the majority of my "experts" picked the Cowboys over the Browns, and they were correct. I picked the Browns, and I was incorrect.
This week, the game we're all going to be picking is the very intriguing New England Patriots at New York Jets. Tom Brady's out for the year and it's Matt Cassel's first start ever. Lining up against Brett Favre, making his eight billionth career start.
The line is Jets -1.5, although we're all just going to pick the game straight up.
Accuscore. (1-0 on the season) Accuscore is a computer program that runs tens of thousands of Monte Carlo simulations of the game, and uses that to predict a winner. This week, they're going with the Jets... but only by their slimmest of margins, 51 percent to 49 percent.
Accuscore just barely favors the Jets.- Former NFL star Eric Allen. (1-0) The only former pro football player on my panel is picking the Patriots.
- Random number generator. (0-1) I use Random.org's coin flipper. Heads home team, tails away team. It came out tails, so the random number generator is picking the Patriots.
- Homeless guy outside my office. (1-0) He was really undecided this week, but ended up rolling with the Patriots. I asked him why but I don't think he heard me.
Battle of the mascots. (1-0) I feel like a modern day soldier could take out a jet, what with anti-aircraft artillery and the like. But a 1700s soldier firing musket balls at a jet, with two minute reloading breaks in between, doesn't really stand a chance. That jet would destroy him. So the Jets win the battle of the mascots.
Battle of the mascots.- Adam, the late '80s fan. (1-0) Adam hasn't watched sports since he was in middle school. Here's his take, using the expertise he gathered from 1989 to 1993.
"JETS - OK, before you say it, I know what you're thinking, what about the Drew Bledsoe factor. Look, I respect any team that starts a QB in his rookie year, but, let's get back to reality here. You can't escape the fact that the Patriots are one of the most abysmal teams in pro football today. Plus don't forget that Boomer is the hometown hero, I expect him to hit his stride with the Jets this year. This is going to be a blowout." - Fatter offensive line. (1-0) This is a very close battle of fatness. The Jets have just a slightly heavier starting offensive line, 1549 pounds versus the Patriots' 1531 pounds. So this pick is the Jets.
A model who may or may not know football. (1-0) Karmen is going with the Patriots. She told me, "def New England Patriots - for sure. Why? On of my friends plays used to play for them."
Karmen, our lovely model/expert.
I asked which friend, and she was reluctant to say. But just know that Stephen Gostkowski, I'm keeping my eye on you... don't be distracting the only female and most attractive person (other than Peter King) on my panel. Just test me. You'll be kicking field goals through a straw.- Just picking the home team. (0-1) This is a tough one, but I'm going with the Jets here.
- Out-of-touch "Sports Illustrated" legend Peter King. (1-0) Peter King is going with the Patriots. He believes that "Cassel, the Patriots quarterback, plays with enough poise to eke one out." So he's going with the Patriots, winning 20 to 19.
- My pick. (0-1) Everyone in Boston has fooled themselves into thinking Matt Cassel is going to shock the world. I like seeing Boston fans get upset. So I'm going with the Jets here, purely out of spite.
This list was published on Friday, September 12, 2008 at 02:00:00 PM under the category NFL Picks.
It currently has View Comments.
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It's all written by Sam Greenspan, a Midwest-born, classically-trained journalist who now tries to make a dollar out of 15 cents in Los Angeles. (It's hard to be legit and still pay the rent.)
Read more about 11 Points and Sam here.
For information about reprinting 11 Points content, or for quotes/interviews for your newspaper, magazine, website, TV program, or radio show, contact Sam via e-mail at